% US K-12 Students attending 'Virtual only" schools = 37.1%
% US K-12 Students Attending 'Traditional In-person/Every day" schools = 37,5%
% US K-12 Students Attending "Hybrid" Schools = 25.4%
Note: Our data is presented as "students attending schools that offer this learning plan" - most districts also offer virtual even when providing in person For above, 37.1% of US K-12 students are currently attending schools that offer only virtual plans, 37.5% offering traditional, etc.
Trends and Observations
To review, Burbio launched the audit on August 11th showing 52% "virtual only" and it shifted dramatically as the month went on and increased to 62% by Labor Day as large districts such as Hawaii, Dallas, small cities in the Northeast, Boston and parts of the Midwest and Sun Belt reversed previously announced in-person plans. In our Labor Day releasewe noted that many districts had announced plans to shift from virtual to in-person during September and most of October. However, introduction of in person learning has slowed to an almost imperceptible level. The virtual-only number is now 37.1%, a drop of only 0.1% versus last week and the number of "traditional" K-12 attendees actually dropped slightly to 37.5% from 37.7%
New in-person openings were limited to small parts of North Carolina, Virgina, Maryland and Delaware and generally in the K-2 age group. As noted last week, we expect near term introduction of in-person learning to begin with the youngest children and/or children with learning issues when it happens at all and it is a priority in the bigger districts that haven't yet opened.
A trend we are seeing is schools shifting from in person during the Thanksgiving to December period due to holiday travel and gathering. South Beloit, Illinois is doing this as well as Oshkosh, WI and Holland, MI. This is a variation on a technique being used by colleges across the US - closing campus at Thanksgiving and doing finals virtually and reopening in the New Year to avoid spread related to travel and holiday gatherings.
We continue to see signs of active discussion about schools staying open given that in and of themselves they are not seen as sources of Covid spread. Timberlane, NH schools are staying open in the face of rising Covid rates, as is Nahant, MA. and West Hartford, CT schools. Further, we expect to see continued revisions to quarantine regulations, such as this one in South Dakota, as more is learned about transmission.
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