% US K-12 Students attending "Virtual only" schools = 37.2%
% US K-12 Students Attending "Traditional In-person/Every day" schools = 37,7%
% US K-12 Students Attending "Hybrid" Schools = 25.2 %
Note: Our data is presented as "students attending schools that offer this learning plan" - most districts also offer virtual even when providing in person For above, 37.2% of US K-12 students are currently attending schools that offer only virtual plans, 37.7% offering traditional, etc.
Trends and Observations
To review, Burbio launched the audit on August 11th showing 52% "virtual only" and it shifted dramatically as the month went on and increased to 62% by Labor Day as large districts such as Hawaii, Dallas, small cities in the Northeast, Boston and parts of the Midwest reversed previously announced in-person plans. In our Labor Day releasewe noted that many districts had announced plans to shift from virtual to in-person during September, and that trend has taken hold as the virtual-only number is now 37.2%.
This week saw a continuation of the transition to in-person for a number of districts, but the move away from virtual is slowing dramatically and most of the districts introducing in-person had started the process earlier in the month. Oakland County, MI (Detroit suburbs), Polk County, IA, Chester County, PA (far Philly suburbs), and St, Louis County, MO all added in person learning. Wake County, NC, and Loudoun County, VA added some in person learning for the first time.
In summary, for districts that are opening, we are monitoring how many close due to Covid and have not seen a material amount of closures to move our indexes. That could change in the coming weeks.
It was reported this week that New York City Public Schools had barely 25% of their students attending the in-person hybrid model. The City is offering parents only one more chance to elect for in-person learning in an effort to achieve more stability and certainty. Outside of the few urban districts that are open Burbio sees "opt out of in-person" rates in the twenty percent range, and sometimes a bit higher, and getting lower as the new quarter begins. We will have more visibility into this as more quarters end in the coming weeks.
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