% US K-12 students attending "virtual-only" schools = 23.7% (from 27.5% last week)
% US K-12 students attending "traditional" In-person/every day" schools = 46.9% (from 44.7%)
% US K-12 students attending "hybrid" schools = 29.4% (from 27.8%)
The above percentages are set to Sunday, March 6th. Our data is presented as "students attending schools that offer this learning plan" - most districts also offer virtual even when providing in-person. For above, 23.7% of US K-12 students are currently attending schools that offer virtual-only plans, 46.9% offering traditional, etc.
Also this week California Governor Newsom announced a $6.6 billion dollar package to incent schools to open at least K-2 in hybrid by the end of March if local health metrics allow. California currently sits last in our state in-person index. Most of the state's large districts have no plans to return students in March. With over ten percent of the US population, the state's incremental and highly contested plans for in-person K-12 learning will weigh down national averages for the near future. Some districts are moving forward; for example Novato School District in Marin County plans to complete K-12 transition in the next two weeks and Poway Unified in San Diego is hopeful about adding 6-12 in mid-March. In general, "Always Virtual" CA districts returning students have long phase-ins and their announcements contain abundant qualifying language. Examples include Santa Barbara, CA, which began a return of elementary in hybrid this week as did Corona-Norco School District in Riverside County. Upland School District in San Bernardino County plans a March 16th in-person introduction, Long Beach, CA a March 29 introduction, while Bakersfield, CA announced a "tentative" return in April in this highly cautionary note.
By grade level, less than 20% of K-5 students now attend "virtual only" schools. With a drop of almost five percentage points since last week those figures are driving the overall drop nationally. We expect to see a continued drop in K-5 'virtual' figures and a rise in the K-5 'traditional' figures due to hybrid transitions as a defining characteristic of March. The outlook for Grades 6-12 is much murkier. Many 'Always Virtual' areas still have no plans in place to return these students and are prioritizing this group last.